Immediate Trade

Category: Recession

  • HUGE Bet by Burry…

    Michael Burry, the investor famous for his success during the financial crisis, has revealed a new “Big Short” position. He has purchased put options on the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ, representing 2 million shares each. The notional value of these options is $1.5 billion, indicating a potential windfall if the market were to retest…

  • Should the fed declare victory?

    Should the fed declare victory?

    Jeff Gundlach notes Import and Export prices, are looking encouraging. However, he also mentions that these prices are currently in negative double digits compared to previous years, indicating disinflationary pressure. Gundlach believes that the massive stimulus and economic distortions from 2020 and 2021 have led to inflation, which is still bubbling through the system. He…

  • Car inflation….

    Car inflation….

    One factor is the high demand for affordable transportation, which led to older cars becoming valuable commodities instead of being scrapped. As a result, there are fewer average cars available for the middle class. The high-price, high-margin models received first priority and pick of the limited semiconductors supply sourced from China. Car manufacturers and dealers…

  • Griffin at Goldman

    Griffin at Goldman

  • Commercial Real Estate

    1.4 trillion of commercial debt is coming due in the US alone, and with the cost of borrowing being up and the value of buildings down, refinancing may not be possible for some. Many banks, lenders, and owners have to decide what to do as it is unclear how much further down it will go.…

  • Balaji Panics….

    Balaji Panics….

    Balaji Srinivasan discusses the recent financial crisis and compares it to the one that happened in 2008. He explains that over the course of 2021, many people were saying that inflation was going to happen, but the Federal Reserve continued to sell hundreds of billions of dollars in bonds during this period. However, in December…

  • Fed Leanings….

    Fed Leanings….

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-the-feds-rate-decision-will-likely-be-a-last-minute-call-105028772.html Powell has been careful not to tip his hand, along with New York Fed President John Williams, Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, and Fed Governor Chris Waller, who have also signaled to keep their options open. “Inflation is not as low as they…

  • Dalio Says STAGFLATION

    Dalio Says STAGFLATION Ray Dalio discusses how the problem with the US’s current debt crisis is that the central banks and the commercial banks will have solvency concerns due to government debt holdings. He highlights the trade-off between raising the debt-to-income ratio and balancing interest rates for creditors rather than debtors. He adds that the…