Category: Financial Models
-
Bianco Predicts…
The Magnificent Seven stocks (FANG stocks, plus Tesla, Microsoft, and Nvidia) have contributed significantly to the overall market gains. Bianco attributes their success to the hype around artificial intelligence and the rollout of new technologies. However, he also notes that the performance of the other 493 stocks in the S&P 500 has been less impressive,…
-
Soft Landing
Mohamed El-Erian, former CEO and current academic and economic adviser, thinks that a soft landing narrative in the economy, combined with *money on the sidelines*, is driving the current rally. El-Erian acknowledges the bearish sentiment among investors but believes good earnings numbers could bring some back. *reminder…there is no such thing as money on the…
-
Kyle Bass
Kyle Bass, founder of Hayman Capital and one of the few to benefit from the 2008 mortgage crisis, warns of the concerning military capabilities of China and argues that American investors played a role in building their war machine. He points out that China now has more naval ships than the U.S. Navy and believes…
-
Oaktree’s new CEO
Armen Panossian (Co-CEO of 160B fund Oaktree Capital, now a subsidiary of Brookfield) discusses his new role, transaction volume, and partnerships in the private lending universe, particularly in real estate and corporate lending. He mentions liquidity in the market is significantly lower, with less trading volume and new issuance in high-yield bonds and senior loans.…
-
Griffin at Goldman
-
2 Broke Everyone
*when you control the printing press (and there is sufficient demand)…you can do anything you want*
-
Genius, Bond Villain, or both?
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman believes that sustainable improvements in quality of life stem from scientific progress, but stresses the need to manage through the associated risks to achieve that. Implicitly responding to accusations of hypocrisy in support of regulation, Altman asserts that OpenAI supports regulation even in private meetings, and only protests burdensome regulation on small…
-
Rubenstein on Real Estate
David Rubenstein, co-founder and co-chairman of Carlyle Group, believes that the biggest investment opportunity over the next 2 to 3 years lies in the discounted real estate debt market, specifically in large commercial office buildings in major cities. Rubenstein acknowledges the challenges facing some cities, such as public relations issues and declining real estate prices,…
-
JUNE FOMC
https://assets.realclear.com/files/2023/06/2201_fomc.pdf June FOMC Meeting: Saying They Will If They Have To, But Hoping They Won’t Have To? › The FOMC made no change to the Fed funds rate target range, leaving the mid-point of the target range at 5.125 percent › The updated dot plot implies a terminal Fed funds rate target range mid-point of…
-
Dalio’s World
Ray Dalio and Thomas Friedman discuss China’s Confucianism way of thinking and how it affects China’s foreign policy. China views itself as a family and its country as an extended family. Confucianism is a top-down, hierarchical philosophy based on strict parenting. They focus on mutual respect between those who are more powerful and those who…