Category: Financial Models
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Time For Bonds
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jpmorgan-michele-says-time-exit-143330550.html I don’t agree with this but…… it’s interesting to read what the other side thinks….. JPMorgan’s Michele Says It’s Time to Exit ‘Cash Trap’ and Move Into Bonds JPMorgan’s Michele Says It’s Time to Exit ‘Cash Trap’ and Move Into Bonds (Bloomberg) — It’s time to exit the “cash trap” of money market funds…
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Fed Day
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-expected-to-skip-a-june-rate-hike-but-signal-more-in-the-future-141346398.html The Fed’s benchmark interest rate stands in a range of 5%-5.25%, the highest level since September 2007. As part of its most aggressive rate hiking campaign since the 1980s, the Fed has increased the target range for its benchmark interest rate by 5 percentage points since March 2022.
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Fake News 2
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Fake News
this is fake news because the big mac price is really 5 something but the message is directionally accurate. Inflation hurts Mcdonald’s customers the most. Personally, my last McDonalds order was $15+.
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6/12/23
Nassim Taleb, hedge fund manager and author of “The Black Swan” discusses the limitations of financial models. He argues that most of the world is driven by Fat-Tailed processes and that using normal distributions in risk analysis is not accurate. Taleb explains that Modern Portfolio Theory, which uses a mix of stocks and bonds, does…
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Fed Leanings….
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-the-feds-rate-decision-will-likely-be-a-last-minute-call-105028772.html Powell has been careful not to tip his hand, along with New York Fed President John Williams, Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, and Fed Governor Chris Waller, who have also signaled to keep their options open. “Inflation is not as low as they…