Category: forecast
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Chaos King
“It’s not just about making money during catastrophes…it’s about trying to protect ourselves from catastrophes” Nassim describes that most people prefer to sit on metaphorical dynamite for a steady stream of income. The primary goal at his firm Universa Investments is to benefit when the “steady” cashflow assets and trades cease to make money. Some…
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2 Broke Everyone
*when you control the printing press (and there is sufficient demand)…you can do anything you want*
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Rubenstein on Real Estate
David Rubenstein, co-founder and co-chairman of Carlyle Group, believes that the biggest investment opportunity over the next 2 to 3 years lies in the discounted real estate debt market, specifically in large commercial office buildings in major cities. Rubenstein acknowledges the challenges facing some cities, such as public relations issues and declining real estate prices,…
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6/21/23
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/powell-nearly-all-fed-members-expect-to-raise-rates-again-this-year-123006616.html Advanced economies like the US have had a head start on developing advanced industries, making it difficult for others to catch up. Europe, despite being primarily comprised of already advanced economies, lacks the innovative global companies compared to the US and even the new players coming from Asia, with exceptions like Germany and France,…
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6/20/23
https://media.licdn.com/dms/document/media/D4E10AQF0toTR_Tk9rA/ads-document-pdf-analyzed/0/1685027405027?e=1687798800&v=beta&t=xqj18k5NlsNOegEgJXFmm9uRJ1e1vac8jAPUp0YopdE Surprise Surprise…PIMCO likes bonds “moving away from a “TINA” world(where “there is no alternative” to equities) to one in whichbonds look cheap relative to equities. Now, bonds also appearattractive due to the current stage of the economic cycle… We maintain our underweight in equities and take a cautiousapproach, with a focus on low-leverage and…
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Balaji Panics….
Balaji Srinivasan discusses the recent financial crisis and compares it to the one that happened in 2008. He explains that over the course of 2021, many people were saying that inflation was going to happen, but the Federal Reserve continued to sell hundreds of billions of dollars in bonds during this period. However, in December…
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Tom Lee on 2023
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JUNE FOMC
https://assets.realclear.com/files/2023/06/2201_fomc.pdf June FOMC Meeting: Saying They Will If They Have To, But Hoping They Won’t Have To? › The FOMC made no change to the Fed funds rate target range, leaving the mid-point of the target range at 5.125 percent › The updated dot plot implies a terminal Fed funds rate target range mid-point of…
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RFK Jr. Favorabiliy