Category: macro
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In Good Company
Stan Druckenmiller discussing various aspects of the financial markets, focusing on inflation, the Federal Reserve ‘s strategies, investment decisions, trading experiences, and advice for aspiring individuals in the industry. Druckenmiller expresses concerns about potential risks from premature declarations of victory over inflation and discusses the implications of his personal investment strategies, including the importance of being forward-looking…
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Is China Really Imploding?
Peter Zeihan has predicted China will collapse as a political entity within a decade or two, possibly as early as 2050. Joeri Schasfoort argues that the predictions are not based on solid arguments but are purely sensationalist meant to get views. The video addresses Mr. Zeihan’s arguments regarding China’s economic decline and highlights the importance…
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Grantham says “only invest outside the US”
Jeremy Grantham shares his insights on market bubbles, his investment strategy, and his concerns about the climate crisis in this interview. He emphasizes the role of human nature in creating bubbles, with people driven by the fear of missing out on wealth. Grantham also highlights the importance of recognizing human nature in market behavior and…
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A Serious Message From Buffett
Warren Buffett’s recent decisions to sell stocks (33B in last 3 quarters) and increase cash reserves ( to$147B), combined with Michael Burry’s options bet against the market, suggest concerns about a possible recession in the US economy. Factors such as persistent inflation, high gas prices, global instability, the AI boom, troubles in commercial real estate,…
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Buyer Beware (pt 2)
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Buyer Beware!
In August 2023, mortgage rates rose to the highest level in 23 years, with the national average 30-year fixed mortgage hitting 7.48%. With home prices and mortgage rates both rising, the U.S. is now witnessing the biggest numerical gap in the monthly cost between owning a home and renting in over 50 years. Today’s chart…
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El Niño Vs La Niña
Reminder! https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-range-2/el-nino-event-development-noaa-advisory-forecast-winter-weather-impact-united-states-canada-europe-fa/ Typically there is a phase change around every 1-3 years. El Niño anomaly is growing rapidly, with a strong seasonal impact already seen in the forecast as we head into Fall and Winter 2023/2024 Based on the latest data, NOAA has released an El Niño advisory showing a rapidly growing El Niño anomaly.…
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This is why the world has gone crazy….
This video explains opinions of the effects of monetary policies in Japan, China, and Hong Kong. It explains the role of quantitative easing (QE) in Japan and its effectiveness, as well as the impact of the European sovereign crisis on the Chinese economy. The importance of capital influx and trade deficits in funding industrialization is…
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OIL is the most important commodity on the planet.
This is a great explanation of futures markets and oil futures using the CME crude oil contract as an example.